Forecasters Predicting Trouble For President Trump In 2020 Following Midterms


FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver has analyzed the results from the 2018 midterms and is warning Republicans of Electoral College problems for President Donald Trump in the 2020 election:

Silver based this map showing a 314-224 victory for Dems based on popular vote data in each House race, with Dems flipping the “tipping point” states of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania:

Even shifting votes to a “neutral environment” gives Dems the edge 278-260:

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